The bigger numbers are as follows:Without being privy to how this deal was negotiated, it appears that it was set at the $45 million in salary (although some of that will never be paid as mentioned above), which is $7.5 million per year, and then the arrangement of salary year by year and the amount of the signing bonuses was sorted out to keep the total cap hit decently close to that number.If your mind is already bent towards the idea that the Leafs now don’t “like” William Nylander because they had a tough contract negotiation with him, that’s going to affect how you prognosticate on the future.This contract is heavily front loaded.
It’s weird how the math works out on this deal.In year-two, Nylander’s salary is very low and the signing bonus is very large. Deal: The stalemated contract talks with Nylander are only part of the story. Now that we’ve swept up after the party, it’s time to take a look at the complicated salary and cap hit numbers.When you add up the breakdown it comes to $45M, however the $10M base in year 1 is prorated. So, by all means, if the Leafs were planning in advance to trade Nylander this summer to the Ottawa Senators, who also plan to play him one season and then trade him, this is a sharp, sharp deal. According to TSN, the second year of the deal sees Nylander's base salary drop to $700,000, with a signing bonus of $8.3 million. Leafs fans rejoiced yesterday as William Nylander signed a 6-year extension, but the structure of the contract suggests that Nylander may have sealed his fate to be traded.
Note that Cane’s model predicts based on past awards, it’s not declaring the player “should” be paid that amount. Now that we’ve swept up after the party, it’s time to take a look at the complicated salary and cap hit numbers. That’s not likely to change. The purpose of signing bonuses is to guarantee the player gets paid at least that much if the NHL ends up in a lockout or strike.My feeling is that a hockey team that wants a player to be obedient in contract negotiations and then to play like it’s his last day on earth in every game is asking for the impossible. Or points per game if you want to be fancy.Given roster changes over the season, that available space will move up and down a bit, but at the deadline, if they wish to, the Leafs can add some very expensive players and not do anything to harm their cap situation next year.Forget Nylander for a bit, and let’s look at the Leafs as a whole. However, there is an extra person included on the roster, and with a cut necessary, that space will increase by at least $650,000. Meaning he loses roughly $3.172M for the 59 days lost, bring his net amount to the 41'sIf he had signed that six-year $7 million deal last July, he could have an identical deal two or three years from now to what this one will be.
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